Statistics show thousands of Minnesotans will die after getting the COVID vaccine — but not because of it

Twin Cities

This week, some 35,000 Minnesotans 65 and older will receive a dose of the coronavirus vaccine.

About 100 will likely be dead within a month, statistics suggest.

But not because of the vaccine. Because people die, especially older people.

There are still cancers, heart attacks and a myriad of other potential causes.

The challenge for public health officials is to avoid even a few of those inevitable deaths being seized upon as evidence that the COVID-19 vaccines are dangerous, or even killers.

There is no evidence at this point that either the Pfizer/BioNTech or Moderna vaccines — the two that have been injected into the arms of millions of Americans — carry any hazards, except occasional allergic reactions that can be countered by common medicines on hand at vaccination sites.

Nonetheless, a portion of the public remains jittery about a brand new vaccine that has yet to undergo any long-term testing — and conceivably could cause problems that scientists aren’t yet aware of. Some health officials, intent on getting an overwhelming majority of the public inoculated, worry that the jittery group could be targeted by misinformation campaigns, especially by vaccination opponents who cling to falsehoods and often exploit a false appearance of cause-and-effect when one thing follows another.

This is especially likely now that vaccines are being widely administered to the oldest citizens, who, statistically speaking, are the most likely to die by sheer virtue of their age.

Michael Osterholm, who served on President Joe Biden’s transition COVID advisory panel, has been among those warning about the scenario since December.

“If one person dies and it gets into the media, there’s a very good chance other people will see it, and they will say, ‘Wait a minute, my grandmother died a week later, too.’ And soon you have lots of deaths, and they’re all real, but they weren’t because of the vaccine,” said Osterholm, the director of the University of Minnesota’s Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy.

It’s already started.


When baseball legend Hank Aaron died Jan. 22, 17 days after publicly being vaccinated, anti-vaxxers, led by Robert Kennedy Jr., sought to connect the two, based on nothing more than the two events, in widely shared social media posts.

Both the team that administered the vaccine and the medical examiner’s office issued statements saying Aaron died in his sleep for reasons unrelated to the vaccine.

Aaron was 86. Based on his age and gender alone, he had a 10 percent chance of dying within a year. On average, each year, more than 877,000 Americans over the age of 85 die, the vast majority from natural causes, according to federal death statistics from 2018 and 2019, the most recent years available — and before the pandemic. That means that, on average, in the 17 days since Aaron was vaccinated, close to 41,000 Americans his age or older could be expected to die.

And over the next few months, every American that age is supposed to get vaccinated.

Even traditional media like newspapers can add to the confusion.

Late last month, ran a story from the Orange County Register about a 60-year-old California health care worker who died four days after receiving his second dose of the Pfizer vaccine. Four hours after the shot, he developed serious breathing difficulties.

The story says he was diagnosed with congestive heart failure and cites no medical reasons to suspect the vaccine, but the headline said it all: “California health care worker dies after second dose of COVID vaccine, investigations underway.”

It was the fourth-most-read story on for the month, driven overwhelmingly by people sharing it on Facebook.


In fact, all deaths that appear to be premature and within a short time of receiving a COVID vaccine are investigated to a degree by federal drug safety officials. It’s part of a series of standard protocols for vaccination programs that range from observations of doctors to reports by the general public.

“There are robust systems in place that are set up not just for the COVID vaccines, but for all vaccines,” said Kris Ehresmann, head of infectious diseases for the Minnesota Department of Health.

The most common mistake that the general public makes is to jump to the conclusion that because a vaccine was given, whatever followed was the result of it.

“There will be a certain number of deaths that will occur, but the sheer association in time, or temporal association, between events, does not equate to causation,” Ehresmann said.

This happened in the case of the California medical worker who died. The story quoted his wife saying, “But when someone gets symptoms 2½ hours after a vaccine, that’s a reaction. What else could have happened?”


“Yep, I saw it,” Osterholm said when asked about the story. “This is exactly the point I was making.”

The same thing happened with autism: Some children began displaying their first symptoms of autism soon after being immunized, leading parents to believe that the shot caused the onset — a notion that has been excluded by researchers.

Scientists now suspect that many of these events happened so closely together out of coincidence: When you vaccinate enough people, odds are that some small number will have a health problem soon after, no matter what.

Osterholm is fond of telling the story of a child who suffered a seizure in front of a nurse who was holding a needle, preparing to immunize the child, who was being held in their mother’s arms. The child had a previously undetected condition.

“If that seizure had happened 30 seconds later, that mother might have assumed the vaccine caused it — and could you blame her for thinking that?” Oserholm said.


The vastness of the COVID mass-vaccination campaign — about 1 million Americans are being vaccinated daily — almost surely means that large numbers of deaths will follow vaccinations.

Here are some examples, based on Minnesota and national death data:

  • There are almost 920,000 Minnesotans 65 and older, and they’re nearly all prioritized for getting vaccinated. Based on pre-COVID death rates, more than 39,000 would be expected to die this year anyway, about 108 per day, or between four and five each hour.
  • If you vaccinate 100,000 Minnesotans between 65 and 79 years old, statistically, you’d expect about 17 of them to die of a heart attack or other heart disease before it’s time for their second dose three weeks later. Twice that number would likely die of cancer, although cancer patients near death might not be expected to be vaccinated.
  • It’s not just older folks. If you vaccinate 10 million 35- to 44-year-olds across the nation, you’d expect about 240 to die of a heart attack or other heart disease within a week.
  • It’s not just fatal events that could cause alarm — but should be expected. If 10 million Americans between the ages of 55 and 64 were vaccinated, about 735 might be expected to suffer a stroke within a week.


Osterholm and others who have warned about such deaths being misinterpreted have suggested that public health officials need to be clearer with their messages so the public is prepared — and that the media needs to do a better job of vetting news stories, especially in an age when they can be spread via social media among people already skeptical of vaccines looking for “evidence” that reinforces their skepticism.

Ehresmann said she believes the core message — that the vaccines have thus far been shown to be safe — is enough.

“We hadn’t specifically thought to say that we would expect a certain number of people to die anyway post-vaccination,” she said. “I think, for the public, the important message is there are safety evaluations that took place before the vaccination was approved, and those safety evaluations continue, even after approval, so that we can make sure we have the safest and most-effective vaccines available.”

Osterholm said more can be done.

“The real fear is that more people will die because they don’t get the vaccine because they’re alarmed by all these stories.”

Twin Cities

7 thoughts on “Statistics show thousands of Minnesotans will die after getting the COVID vaccine — but not because of it

  1. And yet if you were to use this same line of reasoning to point out these same numbers of people would also die “with covid” and not “of covid”, you would be censored as a domestic terrorist. More clown world bullshit.

  2. The conditioning to accept genocide. It’s working here. A few weeks ago the postal clerk said to me ‘we have to expect some will die’ (from the so called vaccine)

    1. I have a customer.. 74yo.. I was supposed to meet him one morning at his property. he called and postponed our meet because he and his wife were going to get vaxxecuted.. I said.. don’t do that.. I explained that at 99.97pct recovery and the shot being 95pct effective.. he was increasing his chances of dying by 4pct. he said Well we been waiting for awhile so we’re gonna go ahead and do it.. I swear to godnjesus the next morning he cancelled on me again because he had to take his wife to the hospital. unscheduled.. turns out she had a blood clot in her leg.. completely unrelated?? coincidental?? I sure don’t think so and I can tell you from experience.. older people are mortified of those nonexistent shit.. they think Fox news is the straight dope. I saw a video where the guy talking said 28 days after vaxx is the critical timeframe. he mighta made that up.. I don’t know but I have one who had to go back immediately and another 91yo lady who got hers day before yesterday. so I’m counting her days. we’ll see! by the way.. at 86yo Hank Aaron died 18 days after his shot. coincidence??? no effin way!!

      1. flat out genocide
        some here only got tested then developed pneumonia and blood clots in the lungs… I’m thinking a 5G link perhaps
        ‘vaxxecuted’ BAM !!!

        1. Could be possible, the ‘Vaccine’ would technically lower your immune system, then ‘unrelated’ health problems occur, i wonder why?.

        2. My thoughts exactly, from research I did several months before the CV thing. Saying it’s 5G plays into their ability to make all of us, I still do it, look loony. It’s only very small specific frequency bands that are in the incredibly wide range of 5G frequencies. Specifically 60 +/- 3 GHz. It’s actually changes the lowest energy states of oxygen to one that is poorly absorbed and released in the human body by hemoglobin in our red blood cells. Causing hypoxia in every major organ system. That’s what happens when you die. I know a lot more of the specific details. Check Wikipedia on the Oxygen molecule and it’s very unusual characteristics for a diatomic gas for quickie info. I just typed in 60GHz Effect on Oxygen into DuckDuckGo about 14-15 months ago, pre-CV. I was horrified looking at the results of worldwide animal studies. The most recent significant research was from Russia in the 1990s. Then things got quiet. SOP when science is being weaponized. It’s probably scrubbed from most internet searches by now. Give it a try and let me know what you find. Henry has my email.

  3. 2 points. Who is going to the Nobel Prize for virtually eliminating the flu? 14,000+ cases last January 2020. 43 last month. Britain had 0. Food for thought. After discussing this and reading about everything related to this Worldwide PsyOp Hoax? In my opinion, I’ve come to view getting the vaccine as an IQ Test. It’s a test where you die within 10 years (or maybe 10 minutes) if you fail. And you become a very contagious spreader, unlike people who acquire the disease naturally? What follows is just my opinion…as a retired physician. I saw abuses of Big Pharma but nothing like this. Things like claiming this was a great vaccine and injecting nothing but saline while bilking the taxpayers for billions. Or this new drug version is way better than the old version that, surprisingly, just went off patent. It’s unethical, criminal, etc. But there’s no direct physical harm to anyone. Straight up fraud and robbery. This CV vaccs shit is a new level of true evil. Bill Gates told anyone who was listening about a goal of significant population reduction if they did a “good job with vaccines” many years ago. It’s a TED talk. Look it up. Less than 10% of people I point out these glaring errors, red alerts and warnings to, listen at all. They just smile and bitch about the vaccine not being available for them, yet. Right in front of me. Testing is a complete 100% farce. The fact that intelligent, otherwise rational people, with critical thinking skills, buy into this BS fear propaganda has been one of the most disappointing things I’ve ever experienced in my life. My faith in the basic goodness of humanity has disappeared.

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