The Common Show – by Dave Hodges
How many of you believe that this country is plunging head first into a state of revolution? How many of you believe that a planned currency collapse coupled with the implementation of a brutal martial law and gun confiscation will be the trigger events which will incite the coming revolution?
Many of us in the alternative media believe that this is the likely scenario that will very soon turn this country into the most dangerous country on the face of the earth. It might behoove us to look a little closer at the nature of revolution in order to predict where all of this is likely headed. In the present political climate, I see no way to stem the tide of unthinkable brutality and violence which seems imminent. It is in this mindset that I set about to research the topic of revolution and this series of articles reflects the results of the research. And as a result of past and common patterns of revolution, it appears as if a clear picture is beginning to emerge.
Four Levels of Warfare
Most military strategists identify four levels of conflict; (1) nuclear war is the trump card of all conflict; (2) conventional warfare; (3) guerrilla warfare; and, (4) terrorism.
It is safe to say that if our country does indeed descend into revolution, nuclear war will not come into play, for if it did, there would be nothing to rule over in the aftermath.
The United States has witnessed civil war of a conventional nature In the 1860′s as two mighty armies of that era locked horns in what proved to be the conflict in which America suffered her greatest loss of life. In the Civil War, both sides had equivalent weaponry and as a result employed conventional tactics. However, given the disparity of technology and resources between the people the globalist controlled forces of the government, a conventional war would prove to be a disaster for the rebel forces. If key elements of the military were to break away and support the people, perhaps a conventional war would unfold. However, it is not likely that the upcoming civil war will be conventional as it is not probable that the military will bifurcate and turn in on itself. The likely mode of the revolutionary war conflict facing the people of the United States is that it will consist of either guerrilla warfare or terrorism.
Guerrilla Warfare Or Terrorism?
Terrorism is the least preferred option by any insurgent group. With terrorism, there is absolutely no hope of final victory because territory is never occupied. For that reason, nobody aspires to engage in terrorism if they have a viable alternative and the American people do have a choice given how well armed we are. However, terrorism arising out a defeated guerrilla force is a distinct possibility as it would represent American guerrilla’s fallback position should they be defeated. Subsequently, does the MIAC Report which labeled Libertarians, Constitutionalists, Second Amendment Supporters, Ron Paul Supporters, Veterans and now Christians as domestic terrorists, make a little more sense as to why DHS made these bold proclamations? DHS understands and has demonstrated their understanding of these facts and has also prepared for what I just wrote about in the previous paragraph.
The Veterans Administration estimates that there are approximately 21.5 million veterans living in the United States. We also live in a country with over 300 million privately owned guns. These combined factors point clearly to a guerrilla war being the preferred and necessary mode of combat which will likely be visited upon the this country.
What Is Guerrilla Warfare?
Guerrilla warfare, for most of human history, is not new. Tribal war, which traditionally pits one guerrilla force against another, is the oldest form of warfare. The new “conventional” form of warfare, which pits guerrillas against “conventional” forces, is more recent as it arose in Mesopotamia 5,000 years ago.
The good news for future American freedom fighters is that guerrilla war has been getting more successful since 1945, but unfortunately guerrilla fighters still lose most of the time. An analysis of past conflicts featuring guerrilla war, reveals that only 25% of guerrilla forces, out of 443 such conflicts since 1775, were successful. The government prevailed almost 64% of the time with the remainder of the conflicts ended in a stalemate. Conversely, since the end of WWII, the percentage of success for guerrilla forces has indeed gone up to 39.6%. Yet that still means that government forces have continued to prevail 51% of the time. When the American people engage in a guerrilla war in the upcoming years, the people have less than a 40% chance of success.
Length of Guerrilla Wars
Guerrilla wars are rarely short and as a result do not favor the American culture and our collective psyche of instant gratification. When Americans flip the switch on the wall, we expect the light to come on. Will Americans set aside their entitlements as well as their entrenched soft lifestyle and rise to the occasion? Only time will tell.
The Vietnamese culture with an external locus of control predominating the people where the group is more important than the individual is the perfect mindset for guerrilla fighters. This could prove to be the American rebels biggest challenge because guerrilla warfare is not something that one does like driving over a speed bump. It is a way of life, a very hard way of life filled with misery, extreme sacrifice and unspeakable losses.
For my money, the best guerrilla fighters in the modern era were the Viet Cong in which Vietnamese people were involved in some form of guerrilla war from 1942-1975. After the Americans invaded Vietnam, the forces in the north had a saying, “born in the north, to die in the south.” There were nearly two generations of Vietnamese people in which war was an unavoidable part of life. What General Westmoreland and LBJ failed to recognize was that in order to defeat and totally subdue the Vietnamese people, the Americans would have had to have engaged in unspeakable genocide because despite the fact that the US won every single battle of the war, the Vietnamese rebels were never going to give up. Do we Americans have that same tenacity to persevere like the Vietnamese?
Prior to WWII, guerrilla wars lasted an average of seven years. Following WWII, guerrilla conflicts lasted an average of 10 years. Will Americans embrace the tenets and sacrifices of guerrilla war and can it ever become a way of life? I believe that conditions would have to be unspeakably horrendous for America to embrace a conflict under these conditions. I think that things would have to be so bad, so completely genocidal, that fighting and dying would be the only viable alternative for America in order to embrace guerrilla warfare as a way of life. What I am saying here is that we are a very soft people.
How Close Are We to the Inevitable Conflict?
Successful guerrilla leaders such as Lawrence of Arabia, Mao, Castro and Giap all concur that there are three phases of any guerrilla war. However, before the phases can unfold there are two preconditions which must be met.
The first condition which is a prerequisite for guerrilla war, is based upon the fact that there has to be a decisive battle for the belief systems of the people as a whole. The globalists have invested billions of dollars in order to dominate the mainstream media. On the other side is the alternative media. Both sides are vying for control of the belief systems of the country.
There are two very distinct ideologies playing out today in the court of public opinion. On one hand, the future rebels are adept at exposing the loss of national sovereignty and civil liberties every chance they get. Conversely, the globalist dominated media is spending billions of dollars to convince the masses that there is no such thing as a conspiracy theory and despite some governmental incompetence, the government loves and protects its people. And the globalists are being somewhat effective. Have you ever noticed that when you are describing a globalist inspired conspiracy such as what happened at Benghazi, and no matter how well documented your position is, that your audience frequently responds with “you must be one of these conspiracy theorists.” Our facts are rarely attacked because they are accurate, but the idea of the existence of any kind of conspiracy is what is challenged. This kind of programming coming from the media is brilliant and effective. Who is winning this war of words? The jury is still out, but the unmistakable conclusion is that the ideological battle lines for the upcoming conflict have clearly been drawn.
The globalists sell the sheep on the notion that we have to control you to protect you (from a threat of our creation), and the other side is saying “we will take our chances, give us freedom.”
The second precondition which must be met prior to descending into guerrilla war consists of both sides engaging in an arms race. In response to the Obama administration’s threat of seizing our guns for the false flag events of the Aurora Batman massacre and Sandy Hook, Americans went on a gun-buying frenzy which continues to this day. DHS has engaged in their own arms buildup as they have purchased 2.2 billion rounds of ammunition to go with 2700 new armored personnel carriers and that is not all. The federal government has invested in 30,000 drones, super soldier robots and intelligence gathering techniques which are mind-blowing. As an aside, Snowden’s public revelations related to the extent of the NSA’s illegal surveillance activities contained nothing that most of us in the alternative media did not already know. It is my belief that Ed Snowden knows a lot more than has been reported related to the reasons underlying the NSA spying and the media is refusing to report on it.
In summary, the American people and their government have engaged in an arms race very similar in nature to two rival countries preparing to go to war.
Conclusion
The preconditions for armed conflict and the likelihood that the conflict will be guerrilla is very likely. In Part Two of this series, an analysis of the commonalities between past guerrilla conflicts (e.g. Giap, Mao, Castro, etc.) will be offered. Emerging from the discussion in the next part in this series is the discovery of the fact that there three overlapping phases to guerrilla war and it will be a shocking surprise to all of us as to how far along this country is in relation to these three phases. All that is needed is the right trigger event and that will be discussed in the next part as well.
http://thecommonsenseshow.com/2013/07/01/americas-coming-guerrilla-war/
What an interesting article and something that falls into my own reasoning, that America is heading towards a calamity but which type?
Is it any mistake that currently there are so many “rebellious” TV shows, from the aptly named “Revolution”, to Continuum, Defiance, Falling Skies, these aren’t backwater shows either but enjoy massive audiences but they all have a common theme, that of social breakdown, “units of patriotism”, fighting the bad guys, if you look where Falling Skies is going, the legitmate President of the post Alien ravaged world is a bit of a scumbag (King George?) whilst Mason is seen very much in the light of Washington and the legitimate and ultimate rebel leader.
It does seem too that outside the cities themselves, the people on the ground are more up to date, better armed, better prepared for catastrophe than those in cities who either bury their heads in the sand and hope it never happens or believe the “good guys” will protect them or fight for them but remain somewhat aloof from the battles.
The problem for America however is it is as a nation utterly useless at fighting guerilla actions if you take its recent adventures to account, the army has always been set up as a conventional one albeit dangerously overreliant on technology and this showed in Iraq where the guerillas were literally running rings round the US forces from the start to the finish and this showed a dangerous insight too into the US forces in general, the inability to adapt, inability to learn, the inability to win hearts and minds where guns and bullets would fail, too often the “enemy” are painted as weak, ineffectual, disorganised and when faced with the grim reality of an organised, well supplied guerilla force and the US army had already lost.
If they thought it bad in Iraq and Afghanistan, what then would it be like for the US government if faced with quelling a rebellion? The answer to that is simple, it will fail, it will react as seen in Waco, go in guns blazing and like Iraq, like Afghanistan, women and children will be killed and so in effect the US government will end up fuelling its own insurgency because like the Waziristani’s who watched in impotent anger as drones blew their wives and children to bits, the people of America will not accept apologies but will want revenge and retribution, will want to hit back and cause hurt and so it will spiral out of control.
One of the reasons why America loses all of its wars is because of this indiscriminate attitude to “collateral” losses, to the planners in the Pentagon, working on percentages and losses, to them it seems acceptable if a few hundred faceless people get wiped out to gain a primary goal. What this does in reality is unifies the whole nation against them as we only have to look back at a few weeks past D Day where out of control American troops were drawing the ire of the Maquis and resistance groups because the troops moving through were raping and robbing the French people as if it were their right and the US government realised there was a real problem and certainly it was rumoured that some of the worst transgressors were indeed “dealt with” yet this is exactly how America loses wars.
How does it happen that decent people go out from the barracks in the US and become the monsters we see in the news?
And so it happened again in Iraq and Afghanistan, atrocity after atrocity and the Iraqi’s threw the US out, the Afghans are at that same point as well and this is the defining point because you know already the police are out of control and beyond the law as are the “spooks”, just WHO is going to stop the US forces from blowing away whole towns in America to quell dissent?
Sooner or later America, the US government is going to be contained and it won’t be allowed to wage any more Iraq’s and Afghanistan’s, history shows that when nations lose the ability to fight wars abroad, they turn inwards on the people and that point isn’t as far away as you would like to think…
Nice article, but it has little basis in fact as far as what is going on here in the USA.
The USA is under attack from domestic enemies, who are suppposedly being manipulated by foreign enemies. You know, the same “domestic enemies” that each oathtaker is lawfully required to support and DEFEND the US Constitution from. Examples of oaths at bottom.
What is going on is there are people, including many of “our” treasonous representatives who are assisting in the destruction of our legitimate government.
So any battles to come will be in DEFENSE OF OUR NATION, OUR LEGITIMATE GOVERNMENT, OUR WAY OF LIFE. Defense of! Yes, we are under attack.
Remember that taking and keeping the lawfully required oaths mustbe met for those who are occupying positions/offices requiring the oaths no longer meet those lawful requirements. Plus it is not only a political offense to break the lawfully required oaths, it is also criminal and civil offenses for which they can – and should be – prosecuted.
“I do solemnly swear (or affirm) that I will Support and DEFEND the Constitution of the United States AGAINST ALL ENEMIES, foreign and DOMESTIC; that I will bear true faith and allegiance to the same; that I take this obligation freely, without any mental reservation or purpose of evasion; and that I will well and faithfully discharge the duties of the office on which I am about to enter: So help me God.”
Military: “I, _____, do solemnly swear (or affirm) that I will Support and Defend the Constitution of the United States against ALL enemies, foreign and DOMESTIC; that I will bear true faith and allegiance to the same; and that I will obey the orders of the President of the United States and the orders of the officers appointed over me, according to regulations and the Uniform Code of Military Justice. So help me God. (<– Notice that supporting and defending the US Constitution comes before – and with more words defining exactly what – obeying presidential and officers of higher rank orders.)
"I, _____ (SSAN), having been appointed an officer in the Army of the United States, as indicated above in the grade of _____ do solemnly swear (or affirm) that I will Support and Defend the Constitution of the United States against ALL ENEMIES, foreign and DOMESTIC, that I will bear true faith and allegiance to the same; that I take this obligation freely, without any mental reservation or purpose of evasion; and that I will well and faithfully discharge the duties of the office upon which I am about to enter; So help me God." (<– Notice that supporting and defending the US Constitution comes before ANYTHING else – and with more words applied to that specific part of the oath)
National Guard: I, (NAME), do solemnly swear (or affirm) that I will Support and Defend the Constitution of the United States and the State of (STATE NAME) against ALL ENEMIES, foreign and DOMESTIC; that I will bear true faith and allegiance to the same; and that I will obey the orders of the President of the United States and the Governor of (STATE NAME) and the orders of the officers appointed over me, according to law and regulations. So help me God. (<– Notice once again that supporting and defending the US Constitution comes before ANYTHING else and with more words tying those actions down.)
Marines: "I, (NAME), do solemnly swear (or affirm) that I will Support and Defend the Constitution of the United States against ALL ENEMIES, foreign and DOMESTIC; that I will bear true faith and allegiance to the same; and that I will obey the orders of the President of the United States and the orders of the officers appointed over me, according to regulations and the Uniform Code of Military Justice. So help me God." (<– Notice that supporting and defending the US Constitution comes before – and with more words defining exactly what – obeying presidential and officers of higher rank orders. Plus the "according to regulations and the Uniform Code of Military Justice." means following ONLY lawful orders or the person who doesn't can be held accountable and prosecuted for following unlawful orders – LOTS of precedents)
The line in the sand has constantly been moving back as the government is crossing each new line daily. A revolution should have happened long before now. I do not thing one will happen in the future.
Would you believe revelations given to Catholic mystics and stigmatics, those who have the unexplained wounds of Our Lord, who went without food for years, all documented and warning of what is to come.
– Sister Lucia of Fatima said in 1990 that “Russia will attack America”
– Blessed Sister Elena Aiello, 1895-1961), Italian mystic and who bore the stimata: That Russia will attack and overrun all of Europe and America with her “secret” armies. That every major city in the world will be destroyed by the elements of the coming world war.
– St. HIldegard in the 12th Century, St. NIlus in the 5th Century, Venerable Sister Marianna de Jesus Torres in the 16th Century and many more who received visions and messages from heaven have all warned in their revelations that in the “20th Century” the Church would be filled with heresies, that a great punishment would follow, unprecedented in its severity and magnitude since the beginning of time, that 3/4 of the world will die and after this four year world war ends, preceded by civil wars and revolutions, that would follow would be the greatest era of peace and prosperity that the world has ever seen in its history for a few generations until man falls again and then comes the anti-christ.
The mystics explain, or reveal that God is going to let our enemies severely chastise us and when all seems lost, when both the Church and world seem doomed, that then God will turn the tide and tables, and all the enemies of God, the Church and nations will be annihilated completely, being what is coming is an apocalyptic event.
Search “WW3 Prophecies and Visions from Central Europe” to read of what is to befall Europe and our event will be somewhat similar.
In Amercia:
America falls into civil war and revolution combined, no gas, stores, electricity, water, food, etc, for near two years, tens of millions die from both the fighting and starvation, from disease and lack of necessities.
At first we go into a very violent revolution and civil war, virtue vs vice, and everyone must take one of two sides, no neutral or inbetween, When all is in turmoil and chaos we get attacked from Russia and China who have “help from within our own government. When all seems lost, when our enemies appear to have the upper hand, then all will change, then with God’s help virtue begins to win and eventually annihilates vice, not defeats but annihilates. “We Win” in the end, but at a great cost. Those who will lead the resistance, who will represent virtue and good, are unknown as of now. These future leaders will be a surprise, common men who are relatively unknown as of this time.
1. Florida: Brazil, Cuba, Venezuela, and all S. American Marxist countries attack from Florida and Mexico.
2. Mexico: Elements of the above and Mexico side with the Russians.
3. Minnesota: Largest pop. of Russians and Muslims reside in Minn., Dakotas, Mich, etc. – Former agents and Intelligence have admitted that the Russians have numerous hidden weapons and supplies caches all over the US and Canada..
4. Alaska: Russians attempt to link up with the Chinese at the US/Can border but are stopped by US and Canadian forces and elements.
5. California: One million man surprise Chinese amphibious assault on the West Coast “WITH HELP FROM WITHIN OUR OWN GOVERNMENT”.
However, as these mystics have warned that we win in the end, that we completely defeat both our enemies “within” and without, those both from abroad and from within our own ranks.
For the sins of abortion, homosexuality, contraception, divorce, drugs, pornography, etc, and especially for the sin of “apostasy”, God is going to punish our countries and world as never anyone can imagine. The hierarchy in the Church will be especially punished with their lives many of them for their abandonment of near 2000 years of Christianity, for rather attempting to establish a “man made religion” that worships man and his desires. One will and must take one of two sides, one repentant and representing virtue, the other unrepentant and representing vice, God will not have anyone, not one who will be neutral of partially on one side or the other – you must choose.
In 1984, Pope JPII asked a German mystic what he had seen in his visions to which he replied: I saw the sky black with planes and missiles coming out of Russia towards the West (Europe) in numbers no one ever imagined they had been amassing, and two submarines surfacing on the West and East Coast of America and firing their missiles at the coastal cities.
The Judeo-Freemasonic, Atheistic-Marxist plan was to establish a One World Satanic Judeo-Freemasonic Dictatorship. Obama’s mission was to prepare America for a Marxist takeover. Presently Obama is dismantling our defenses and building a civilian army which consists of DHS, FEMA, IRS, FBI, TSA, etc and bringing in foreign troops to assist under the auspices of the UN. Military commanders who have refused, if required, to fire on American civilians, have been replaced, military elements not loyal or questionable are being deployed out of country.
I would also recommend one searches and reads of the “Three Days Darkness” warned by many saints including St. Padre Pio, which happens in the last few months of the coming war and is the final cause of its end. Many of these mystics explain that all the popes since Vatican II, the “evil council” will be later condemned for their apostasy and part in the attempted destruction of the Church and the faith.
This all to happen very suddenly, so sudden that governments and those who are attempting to establish this world dictatorship themselves will be surprised and terrified, possibly within the next year. The intention was to have this world dictatorship, this Judeo-Freemasonic Satanic Dictatorship, by 2016-17, but God “Pre-empts” their plans and causes “them” to attack, to initiate their plans prematurely and the devil screams to heaven – “but I’m not ready yet, I’m not ready yet”, thus God allows His Justice to unfold and at the same time gives us the chance that we need.
Marie-Julie Jahenny, 1850-1941, visionary, victim soul, mystic, who bore all the mysterious stigmata of Christ, was told prior to 1900 of WWI, WWII and WW3 in detail, of Russia’s surprise attack on the world with her allies, that at first Russia, China, the Muslims win everywhere for a few years until the tables are turned and the final days of the war with the Three Days Darkness.
Prepare and have hope, remember “we” virtuous, wins in the end but at first the fight will be terrifying and unprecedented in its severity. Get out of the cities or now prepare to go to a farm, relative, cabin, somewhere out of the cities which will be destroyed. Guns and ammo for protection is a must and necessity, without them you will be at the mercy of the elements and God will let you on your own for your unbelief or refusal to prepare as much as you could, God will take care of what you cannot, but you must show your belief in preparing as much as you are able. Think what you will need – no gas, stores, electricity, heat, water, etc for nearly two years, and don’t worry who will be our leaders as they will be chosen by God, not themselves or others, and will be a surprise to all.
if one is stupid enough to jump from a [20] twenty story building…
http://www.john-friend.net/2013/07/reflecting-on-founding-fathers-and.html
does the Almighty punish the “jumper” with gravity..?
http://adask.wordpress.com/2013/07/03/the-science-delusion/
or is it that the concrete is so unforgiving..?
All these senarios based on past conflicts. None comparable to the population in the U.S. We are a slow moving behemoth. We have not been fully awakened yet. When we are no cop. politician, lawyer, jailer, tax worker, wall street worker, bond trader, media pundit, or pharmaceutical worker will walk freely. ALL our arms will be targeting them from behind every blade of grass. Why war with them? Kill them from a distance then go freely to the next target. It is this realization coming to light that is the real fear of this government, media, medical and educational establishment. The cost of lying to the populace from a position of authority or widespread audience will be death and only by this method will we begin to see the truth behind the criminals we now pay to hurt us.
Obomney was the last straw for me. I was a Perotista, voting Reform 3 times.
Then I stayed home. But O gave me some hope. I thought he was the feisty black activist from Chicago – come to clean up Washington. Had the Black Panthers taken over the Justice Department to root out who shorted airline stock in the days before 9/11 [the hoax] – I would be cheering the man and his ‘administration’ of rebels.
But O is a lawn jockey for the same thugs who put Bush and his pet monkey in charge. Bush in black face!?!
We get tweedles dum or dee…. and they LIE, CHEAT and STEAL to get there.
I have led an exemplary life — no criminal record, no shady money, no ties to organized crime [ which I think is preferable to the thugs who call themselves ‘servants’ ]
So bring it on….. I now cheer bank robberies, corporate failures, and cop killings… because I know that everyone who gravitates to ‘enforcement’ work is an out of work former mercenary…. just itching to shoot someone – or their dog.
I hate my government…. at every level. And I”m not afraid to tell em so.
I”ve had the FBI and SS at my house…. a laughable exercise.. and I tell em the same thing every time…. get a warrant…. and pound SAND!!
I am the true patriot…. the goonies are just sociopaths looking for a job where they can hurt someone.
I think there are some things that bring the less than 40% chance of guerilla warfare quite a bit higher than historical statistics will account for:
1. Disenfranchised war veterans: The U.S.G. has systematically been alienating ex-military personnel via cuts to benefits, and denial of medical and mental health assistance… The meer Politically Correct downplay and word play from “Shellshock” to “battle fatigue” to “post-traumatic stress disorder” to, what I suspect, will one day become “wah, wah, cry-baby; shot his gun then shat his pants”, is enough to push people with military experience into rebellion.
2. There really are a lot of civilians with guns, training, and practice in the U.S. Maybe they aren’t all outraged enough, yet, but how many more miscarriages of justice and counter-constitutional acts do you think that will take? I suspect that the apparent ramping up in frequency of some of these things which are coming to light are going to set off a reaction even among the boiling frogs.
I thought I had a third…. But apparently that has slipped my mind.
-dirtykid©
The Amerikans call it the Viet Nam War. The Vietnamese call it the 100 Year War.
Whenever I read of the horrible consequences of rebellion, I remember that great Youtube video by Larken Rose titled “The Tiny Dot.”
Remember after 911, George W Bush addressed their worst fear, “Just keep shopping.” If the Amerikan people were to really rebel, they would tear up their credit cards and refuse to pay their debts. The great Bankster nation would collapse with hours and they would run for their lives.
Also remember, the Federal Reserve’s charter has expired. Your Federal taxes are now voluntary. Stockpiling a few hundred extra rounds of 12 gauge for your shotgun does not scare them, breaking out of the slavery/bondage matrix, terrifies them.
The Viet Cong’s level of slavery was much different than ours and had to be fought at a totally different level. Ever been in a Viet Cong tunnel? Ever embark on a hundred year endeavor?