Destabilizing the old world order

Colonel Cassad

Britain’s Foreign Secretary Philip Hammond gave a speech in London in which he again spoke about the destabilizing role of Russia in the Ukrainian crisis.

“President Putin’s actions — illegally annexing Crimea and now using Russian troops to destabilize eastern Ukraine – fundamentally undermine the security of sovereign nations of Eastern Europe,” — said Hammond, speaking in the Royal United Services Institute in London.
According to Hammond, Putin is not going to follow the rules accepted in the international community, the goal of which is to keep peace between nations. Quite the opposite he is bent on “subverting it”, due to which Russia is potentially the “single greatest threat to Britain’s security.”

Earlier in his BBC interview the head of the British Foreign Office said that there are no signs of changing the Moscow’s policy towards the Ukrainian conflict.
He added that additional sanctions against Russia may be passed in the case of the worsening situation in Ukraine.
Ukrainian authorities and the western countries accuse Russia of giving military aid to the separatists in the east of Ukraine and of sending military force to participate in the conflict.
Moscow consistently denies direct participation in the armed conflict in Donbass and accuses the west of not having the desire to settle the crisis peacefully.
Merkel convinced Obama.
On Monday evening it became known that the US president Barack Obama decided not to ship lethal weapons to Ukraine for now.
As the Associated Press agency was told by the ambassador of Germany in Washington Peter Wittig, Obama made this decision in February after the talks in the White House with Chancellor Angela Merkel. According to Wittig, the American president agreed with Merkel that more room needs to be given to diplomacy in the situation of the cease-fire that started.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/russian/uk/2015/03/150310_hammond_speech_russia_threat_europe (in Russian) — link

The only thing in which it is possible to agree with Hammond is that the current Russian line is destroying the existing world order, willingly or unwillingly, which its current masters naturally don’t like. Few can be deceived by hypocritical lamentations that the existing world order served the goal of keeping peace, because it is precisely the masters of the existing world order who lead in the number of aggressive wars and foreign-inspired coups, which violate the sovereignty of independent and formally independent countries. It is hard to say that Russia consciously sought actions that destroy this world order. For many years Russia tried to integrate into this system, but no matter how our westernizers tried, they were regularly shown the door. In the end, Russia was forced to throw monkey wrenches into the works of the wheels of the existing world order, first in Georgia, then in Syria, and now in Ukraine. Not in any single one of these crucial events Russia wasn’t the initiator of the process. Rather, it stood in defense, in some cases successfully, in other cases not so much. But this is unacceptable for those who benefit the most from the fact that our world works in this specific way and not in some other way.

Russia is currently unable to offer some kind of global project or a paradigm of development to the world. The rejection of superpower status is fixed at the level of the basic ideological postulates. Russia cannot replace the USA, even if she strongly wanted it. So there is no speaking about Russia trying to bring the USA down from their high horse and take the place of the world hegemony. Only China may entertain such ideas, and only in the long term. Russia simply wants to lock certain spheres of influence behind her and to review the rules of the game where the USA act as not the first among equals bur rather like a sovereign among vassals (perhaps, disloyal vassals). That is why the conflict based on the foundation of such postulates destroys and will continue to destroy the existing world order, both due to the natural development of the cold war between the USA and the RF and also due to the long-term consequences of wars and political and economic crises generated by this conflict.

Because now Russia effectively destroys the existing world order with the USA in its head and the USA on the opposite side try to preserve it — within the old boundaries and principles of the late-Washington world order, Russia will surely be declared guilty, but if we look at the situation in the logic of the late-Washington world order, then Russia’s action directly or indirectly lead to creating a real multi-polar world, where the USA and their European satellites will no longer be able to secure support of the old institutes of global control. The war in Ukraine is in essence a part of the process of destroying the old world order, on the ruins of which the new world order will grow. The goal of Russia is quite simple: to survive in this conflict in order to assume a very different role in the case of the successful outcome of this confrontation. The task of the USA is also clear — to bury Russia under the wreckage of the collapsing world order and to secure modernization of the existing instruments for ruling the world.

Meanwhile, it must be noted that the role of the USA in the business of destabilization and destruction of the old system of world order is much greater than the role of Russia. It was precisely the USA who loosened the framework of the existing world order by their aggressions and coups, thinking that because they have huge military, economic, cultural, and political might the world is just going to swallow it and no clear threat for the American hegemony will emerge. As a result, the stronger the USA tried to squeeze the world in the fist of their superpower status, the more sand of the collapsing old world order was seeping through their fingers. The war in Afghanistan failed, where the Taliban now eagerly waits for the moment when the Americans will depart so that it can take power.
They ruined secular autocracies in the Middle East and in North Africa and in the end they got islamic madness that went out of control, which threatens American interests among everything else. They tried to teach a lesson to Russia in Ukraine and they got a war in the end, which threatens the basic foundations of the existing world order. And as the USA insist more and more on trying to engage in aggressive wars and on deposing regimes that they don’t like, the more the actual weakening of the global hegemony becomes clear; control over the situation gradually seeps through its fingers.

Now the USA gave a last chance to Europe to persuade Russia to make concessions in Ukraine, but they are unlikely to get the kind of capitulation that is expected from Russia in the West. The repeat of the situation with the “truce” in Ukraine (the junta continues to fool around there, today it was announced that http://www.rosbalt.ru/ukraina/2015/03/10/1376181.html (in Russian) the legal authorities in Donbass are the authorities elected during Yanukovich) is a good indication of the fact that after all diplomatic dancing the sides run into the wall of unsolvable contradictions again and again, no matter how often Russia is accused of being guilty of everything. Because nobody is going to stop aggressive wars and color-coded coups, there are no reasons to suppose that all of these ultimatums and the attempts to drive the dissidents into the stall of the late-Washington world order will lead to healing the wounds of the old world. Its collapse under the weight of unsolvable contradictions and the formation of a new system of world order, the beneficiaries of which will be the winners of the current conflict, is more likely.

Original article: http://colonelcassad.livejournal.com/2083870.html (in Russian)

http://cassad-eng.livejournal.com/138002.html